Seasonal forecast of Kharif flows from Upper Jhelum catchment
1Department of Architectural and Civil Engineering, University of
Applied Sciences, Koblenz, 56075, Germany
2National Engineering Services (Pvt) Limited, Lahore, 54000, Pakistan
Abstract. An operational hydrological forecast model was set-up based on the Snowmelt-Runoff Model (SRM) in order to forecast Kharif flows from Upper Jhelum catchment. Zone-wise degree-day factor functions were derived by diagnostic calibration and are applied according to a defined temperature rule when melting starts. While predicting the depletion of snow-covered area by SRM's modified depletion curve approach, scenario runs with temperature and precipitation of past years are carried out which are evaluated statistically to forecast the seasonal flow volume.
Bogacki, W. and Ismail, M. F.: Seasonal forecast of Kharif flows from Upper Jhelum catchment, Proc. IAHS, 374, 137-142, doi:10.5194/piahs-374-137-2016, 2016.