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Proceedings of the International Association of Hydrological Sciences An open-access publication for refereed proceedings in hydrology
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Volume 371
Proc. IAHS, 371, 13–15, 2015
https://doi.org/10.5194/piahs-371-13-2015
© Author(s) 2015. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
Proc. IAHS, 371, 13–15, 2015
https://doi.org/10.5194/piahs-371-13-2015
© Author(s) 2015. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.

  12 Jun 2015

12 Jun 2015

Scenario forecasting changes in the water balance components of the Olenek and Iindigirka river basins due to possible climate change

Ye. M. Gusev, O. N. Nasonova, L. Ya. Dzhogan, and E. E. Kovalev Ye. M. Gusev et al.
  • Institute of Water Problems, Russian Academy of Sciences, Moscow, Russia

Abstract. Scenario projections of the dynamics of meteorological characteristics for the basins of the Olenek and Indigirka rivers (the Republic of Sakha) in the XXI century have been obtained for four IPCC global climate change scenarios of SRES family which correspond to specified scenarios of economic, technological, political, and demographic development of human civilization. The projections have been used to calculate scenarios of possible changes in water balance components for the basins under consideration up to the year of 2063. The calculation procedure involves a physically-based model for heat and mass exchange between the land surface and the atmosphere SWAP and climate scenario generator MAGICC/SCENGEN.

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Scenario projections of the dynamics of meteocharacteristics for basins of the Olenek and Indigirka rivers in the 21 century have been obtained for four global climate change scenarios. The projections have been used to calculate scenarios of possible changes in water balance components for the selected basins in the 21 century. The calculation procedure involves a physically-based model for interaction between the land surface and the atmosphere SWAP and climate scenario generator.
Scenario projections of the dynamics of meteocharacteristics for basins of the Olenek and...
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