Articles | Volume 382
https://doi.org/10.5194/piahs-382-285-2020
© Author(s) 2020. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/piahs-382-285-2020
© Author(s) 2020. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Pre-conference publication
| 
22 Apr 2020
Pre-conference publication |
| 22 Apr 2020
| 22 Apr 2020
Factors controlling natural subsidence in the Po Plain
Luigi Bruno
CORRESPONDING AUTHOR
Department of Chemical and Geological Sciences, University of Modena
and Reggio Emilia, Modena, 41125, Italy
Bruno Campo
Department of Biological, Geological and Environmental Sciences,
University of Bologna, Bologna, 40126, Italy
Bianca Costagli
Department of Biological, Geological and Environmental Sciences,
University of Bologna, Bologna, 40126, Italy
Esther Stouthamer
Department of Physical Geography, Utrecht University, Utrecht, the
Netherlands
Pietro Teatini
Department of Civil, Environmental and Architectural Engineering,
University of Padova, Padova, 35131, Italy
Claudia Zoccarato
Department of Civil, Environmental and Architectural Engineering,
University of Padova, Padova, 35131, Italy
Alessandro Amorosi
Department of Biological, Geological and Environmental Sciences,
University of Bologna, Bologna, 40126, Italy
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Huijun Li, Lin Zhu, Gaoxuan Guo, Yan Zhang, Zhenxue Dai, Xiaojuan Li, Linzhen Chang, and Pietro Teatini
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 21, 823–835, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-21-823-2021, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-21-823-2021, 2021
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We propose a method that integrates fuzzy set theory and a weighted Bayesian model to evaluate the hazard probability of land subsidence based on Interferometric Synthetic Aperture Radar technology. The proposed model can represent the uncertainty and ambiguity in the evaluation process, and results can be compared to traditional qualitative methods.
Claudia Zoccarato, Torbjörn E. Törnqvist, Pietro Teatini, and Jonathan G. Bridgeman
Proc. IAHS, 382, 565–570, https://doi.org/10.5194/piahs-382-565-2020, https://doi.org/10.5194/piahs-382-565-2020, 2020
Roberto Tomás, José Luis Pastor, Marta Béjar-Pizarro, Roberta Bonì, Pablo Ezquerro, José Antonio Fernández-Merodo, Carolina Guardiola-Albert, Gerardo Herrera, Claudia Meisina, Pietro Teatini, Francesco Zucca, Claudia Zoccarato, and Andrea Franceschini
Proc. IAHS, 382, 353–359, https://doi.org/10.5194/piahs-382-353-2020, https://doi.org/10.5194/piahs-382-353-2020, 2020
Pietro Teatini, Cristina Da Lio, Luigi Tosi, Alessandro Bergamasco, Stefano Pasqual, Paolo Simonini, Veronica Girardi, Paolo Zorzan, Claudia Zoccarato, Massimiliano Ferronato, Marcella Roner, Marco Marani, Andrea D'Alpaos, Simonetta Cola, and Giuseppe Zambon
Proc. IAHS, 382, 345–351, https://doi.org/10.5194/piahs-382-345-2020, https://doi.org/10.5194/piahs-382-345-2020, 2020
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An in-situ loading test was carried out in the Lazzaretto Nuovo salt-marsh in the Venice Lagoon, Italy. The test was aimed at characterizing the geotechnical properties of soils forming the marsh sedimentary body deposits. In fact porosity and compressibility are of paramount importance to quantify consolidation versus accretion and relative sea level rise. The fate of coastal marshlands in the next future will strongly depend of these processes.
Roberta Bonì, Claudia Meisina, Pietro Teatini, Francesco Zucca, Claudia Zoccarato, Andrea Franceschini, Pablo Ezquerro, Marta Béjar-Pizarro, José A. Fernández-Merodo, Carolina Guardiola-Albert, José L. Pastor, Roberto Tomás, and Gerardo Herrera
Proc. IAHS, 382, 409–414, https://doi.org/10.5194/piahs-382-409-2020, https://doi.org/10.5194/piahs-382-409-2020, 2020
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The potential of the integrated use of A-DInSAR data and 3D groundwater flow and geomechanical models to capture and assess aquifer dynamics is performed. The approach has been applied to investigate the response during and after pumping of a portion of the Madrid aquifer. The short time delay (about one month) between the groundwater pumping and the system response (land displacements) are likely due to a minor role played by the clayey layers.
Laura Gazzola, Massimiliano Ferronato, Matteo Frigo, Pietro Teatini, Claudia Zoccarato, Anna Antonia Irene Corradi, Maria Carolina Dacome, Ernesto Della Rossa, Michela De Simoni, and Stefano Mantica
Proc. IAHS, 382, 457–462, https://doi.org/10.5194/piahs-382-457-2020, https://doi.org/10.5194/piahs-382-457-2020, 2020
Massimiliano Ferronato, Matteo Frigo, Laura Gazzola, Pietro Teatini, and Claudia Zoccarato
Proc. IAHS, 382, 83–87, https://doi.org/10.5194/piahs-382-83-2020, https://doi.org/10.5194/piahs-382-83-2020, 2020
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The regular monitoring of radioactive marker positions along a vertical borehole can provide in-situ measurements of deep rock compaction. Developed in the ‘70s, in recent years the effectiveness of this technology has been often debated. The present communication analyses the state of the art of the radioactive marker technique and provides a critical review on the role that these measurements might play in the future evolution of land subsidence monitoring and modelling.
Luigi Tosi, Cristina Da Lio, Sandra Donnici, Tazio Strozzi, and Pietro Teatini
Proc. IAHS, 382, 689–695, https://doi.org/10.5194/piahs-382-689-2020, https://doi.org/10.5194/piahs-382-689-2020, 2020
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The Venice coastland forms the major low-lying area in Italy and encompasses a variety of environments, such as farmlands, estuaries, deltas, lagoons and urbanized areas. Since most of the territory lies at a ground elevation below or slightly above the mean sea-level, also a few mm/yr of land subsidence can seriously impacts on the coastal system. In this study, we present an analysis of the vulnerability to relative sea-level rise (RSLR) considering an uneven land subsidence distribution.
Matteo Frigo, Massimiliano Ferronato, Laura Gazzola, Pietro Teatini, Claudia Zoccarato, Massimo Antonelli, Anna Antonia Irene Corradi, Maria Carolina Dacome, Michela De Simoni, and Stefano Mantica
Proc. IAHS, 382, 449–455, https://doi.org/10.5194/piahs-382-449-2020, https://doi.org/10.5194/piahs-382-449-2020, 2020
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The numerical prediction of land subsidence above producing reservoirs can be affected by a number of uncertainties due to several factors. In this work, we use a Bayesian approach to reduce the initial uncertainties about the mechanical parameters in order to improve the reliability of land subsidence predictions.
The numerical results obtained in an experiment on a real-world gas field confirms that is a valuable and effective approach.
Giovanni Isotton, Pietro Teatini, Raffaele Stefanelli, Massimiliano Ferronato, Carlo Janna, Matteo Cerri, and Timur Gukov
Proc. IAHS, 382, 475–480, https://doi.org/10.5194/piahs-382-475-2020, https://doi.org/10.5194/piahs-382-475-2020, 2020
Esther Stouthamer, Gilles Erkens, Kim Cohen, Dries Hegger, Peter Driessen, Hans Peter Weikard, Mariet Hefting, Ramon Hanssen, Peter Fokker, Jan van den Akker, Frank Groothuijse, and Marleen van Rijswick
Proc. IAHS, 382, 815–819, https://doi.org/10.5194/piahs-382-815-2020, https://doi.org/10.5194/piahs-382-815-2020, 2020
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Ongoing subsidence is a complex problem for the Netherlands. Old strategies for coping have limits. In the Dutch National Scientific Research Program on Land Subsidence (2020–2025), we will develop an integrative approach to achieve feasible, legitimate and sustainable solutions for managing the negative societal effects of land subsidence, connecting fundamental research on subsidence processes to socio-economic impact of subsidence and to governance and legal framework design.
Martijn van Gils, Esther Stouthamer, and Frank Groothuijse
Proc. IAHS, 382, 825–829, https://doi.org/10.5194/piahs-382-825-2020, https://doi.org/10.5194/piahs-382-825-2020, 2020
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This paper analyses whether and to what extent public decision-making, which controls land subsidence due to groundwater table lowering and its societal impacts, is organised effectively to reduce these societal impacts, and how the legal framework can be improved to achieve that.
Gilles Erkens and Esther Stouthamer
Proc. IAHS, 382, 733–740, https://doi.org/10.5194/piahs-382-733-2020, https://doi.org/10.5194/piahs-382-733-2020, 2020
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For many subsiding coastal areas, solutions to subsidence are readily available, but difficult to implement. To facilitate decision making and implementation of measures to subsidence, a sound and shared knowlegde base is required. But how to start creating such a knowledge base? This paper presents a comprehensive, step-by-step approach to address land subsidence, illustrated by best practise examples from around the world. This 6M approach will contribute to lowering the threshold to act.
Mariano Cerca, Dora Carreón-Freyre, and Pietro Teatini
Proc. IAHS, 382, 433–436, https://doi.org/10.5194/piahs-382-433-2020, https://doi.org/10.5194/piahs-382-433-2020, 2020
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This work reports results of experiments made in analogue materials reproducing the occurrence and propagation of fractures associated with land subsidence driven by groundwater pumping. We compare the physical experimental model results with a numerical model that tests the development of stresses above a bedrock ridge that forms the base of an aquifer.
Yueting Li, Matteo Frigo, Yan Zhang, Lin Zhu, Massimiliano Ferronato, Carlo Janna, Xulong Gong, Jun Yu, Pietro Teatini, and Shujun Ye
Proc. IAHS, 382, 511–514, https://doi.org/10.5194/piahs-382-511-2020, https://doi.org/10.5194/piahs-382-511-2020, 2020
Pietro Teatini, Claudia Zoccarato, Massimiliano Ferronato, Andrea Franceschini, Matteo Frigo, Carlo Janna, and Giovanni Isotton
Proc. IAHS, 382, 539–545, https://doi.org/10.5194/piahs-382-539-2020, https://doi.org/10.5194/piahs-382-539-2020, 2020
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A critical issue concerning geomechanical safety for underground gas storage in compartmentalized reservoirs is fault reactivation. An in-depth modelling investigation was carried out for the typical UGS geological setting and operations in the Netherlands. The specific goals of the study are explaining the mechanisms responsible for seismic events unexpectedly recorded during UGS phases and understanding which are the critical factors that increase the probability of fault reactivation.
Luigi Tosi, Cristina Da Lio, Pietro Teatini, Antonio Menghini, and Andrea Viezzoli
Proc. IAHS, 379, 387–392, https://doi.org/10.5194/piahs-379-387-2018, https://doi.org/10.5194/piahs-379-387-2018, 2018
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We have depicted the continental and marine surficial water–groundwater interactions in a large portion of the coastland encompassing the southern Venice lagoon and the northern Po river delta. The saltwater-fresh water transition zone is very irregularly-shaped and mainly depends on the morphologic setting and the subsoil architecture. An over-consolidated Pleistocene clay layer and buried Holocene sandy paleo-channels and paleo-ridge systems controlled the
saltwater-fresh water exchanges.
Pietro Teatini, Giovanni Isotton, Stefano Nardean, Massimiliano Ferronato, Annamaria Mazzia, Cristina Da Lio, Luca Zaggia, Debora Bellafiore, Massimo Zecchin, Luca Baradello, Francisco Cellone, Fabiana Corami, Andrea Gambaro, Giovanni Libralato, Elisa Morabito, Annamaria Volpi Ghirardini, Riccardo Broglia, Stefano Zaghi, and Luigi Tosi
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 21, 5627–5646, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-21-5627-2017, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-21-5627-2017, 2017
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We investigate the effects of digging a navigable canal on the hydrogeological system underlying a coastal lagoon. The research has been promoted by the Venice Water Authority, which is investigating different possibilities to avoid the passage of large cruise ships through the historic center of Venice, Italy. Numerical simulations supported by a proper hydrogeological characterization show that the exchange of water and contaminants from the subsurface and surface systems will be significant.
Ahmad Ali Behroozmand, Pietro Teatini, Jesper Bjergsted Pedersen, Esben Auken, Omar Tosatto, and Anders Vest Christiansen
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 21, 1527–1545, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-21-1527-2017, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-21-1527-2017, 2017
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Within the framework of the EU project IMPROWARE, our goal was to investigate a Mediterranean coastal aquifer in Egypt and develop scenarios for artificial aquifer remediation and recharge. The results of an extensive hydrogeophysical investigation were successfully used as an input in regional and local hydrological models to understand the hydrological evolution of the area. The research outcomes clearly highlight the effectiveness of using advanced geophysical and modeling methodologies.
Lin Zhu, Huili Gong, Zhenxue Dai, Gaoxuan Guo, and Pietro Teatini
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 21, 721–733, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-21-721-2017, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-21-721-2017, 2017
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We developed a method to characterize the distribution and variance of the hydraulic conductivity k in a multiple-zone alluvial fan by fusing multiple-source data. Consistently with the scales of the sedimentary transport energy, the k variance of the various facies decreases from the upper to the lower portion along the flow direction. The 3-D distribution of k is consistent with that of the facies. The potentialities of the proposed approach are tested on the Chaobai River megafan, China.
C. Zoccarato, D. Baù, F. Bottazzi, M. Ferronato, G. Gambolati, S. Mantica, and P. Teatini
Proc. IAHS, 372, 351–356, https://doi.org/10.5194/piahs-372-351-2015, https://doi.org/10.5194/piahs-372-351-2015, 2015
A. Franceschini, P. Teatini, C. Janna, M. Ferronato, G. Gambolati, S. Ye, and D. Carreón-Freyre
Proc. IAHS, 372, 63–68, https://doi.org/10.5194/piahs-372-63-2015, https://doi.org/10.5194/piahs-372-63-2015, 2015
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The stress variation induced by overdraft of aquifers in sedimentary basins may cause ground rupture in the form of activation of pre-existing faults or earth fissure generation. The process is severely threatening many areas in China and Mexico. Ruptures yield discontinuity in the displacement and stress fields that classic finite element (FE) models cannot address. We proved how Lagrangian approach provides more stable solutions than Penalty approach.
E. Stouthamer and S. van Asselen
Proc. IAHS, 372, 173–178, https://doi.org/10.5194/piahs-372-173-2015, https://doi.org/10.5194/piahs-372-173-2015, 2015
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The potential for subsidence of Holocene deltas due to peat compaction is mainly determined by the 3D distribution of different lithologies, and associated geotechnical properties, in the subsurface. Our study shows that sequences containing thick high-organic peat layers with no or a thin clastic overburden have the highest potential for high amounts of subsidence due to compaction. In addition, peat layers above groundwater level have high potential for subsidence due oxidation and compaction.
E. Stouthamer and S. van Asselen
Proc. IAHS, 372, 179–182, https://doi.org/10.5194/piahs-372-179-2015, https://doi.org/10.5194/piahs-372-179-2015, 2015
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Deltas are increasingly under pressure from human impact and climate change. Ensuring future delta life requires sustainable management of deltas. Future Deltas is an interdisciplinary research program of Utrecht University, The Netherlands, with an international focus. It aims to understand drivers of change in deltas, predict impacts and optimize solutions and importantly contributes to the development of integrated sustainable and resilient delta management strategies.
P. S. J. Minderhoud, G. Erkens, V. H. Pham, B. T. Vuong, and E. Stouthamer
Proc. IAHS, 372, 73–76, https://doi.org/10.5194/piahs-372-73-2015, https://doi.org/10.5194/piahs-372-73-2015, 2015
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Land subsidence rates of ~1-4 cm yr-1 are measured in the low-lying Vietnamese Mekong Delta. These relatively high subsidence rates are attributed to groundwater extraction, which has increased drastically over the past decades. There is an urgent need to go from measurements to predictions to test future groundwater management scenarios and reduce subsidence. In this study, we present an approach to build a 3D geo-hydrological model to determine the subsidence potential of the Mekong Delta.
L. Tosi, T. Strozzi, C. Da Lio, and P. Teatini
Proc. IAHS, 372, 199–205, https://doi.org/10.5194/piahs-372-199-2015, https://doi.org/10.5194/piahs-372-199-2015, 2015
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Eighty regular TerraSAR-X acquisitions over the 2008-2011 period significantly improve the subsidence monitoring at the Venice coastland. Settlements of 30-35 mm/yr have been detected at the three lagoon inlets in correspondence of the MoSE works. The Venice and Chioggia historical centers show local sinking bowls up to 10 mm/yr connected with the construction of new large buildings or restoration works. In the city of Venice, the mean subsidence of 1.1±1.0 mm/yr confirms its general stability.
S. Ye, Y. Wang, J. Wu, P. Teatini, J. Yu, X. Gong, and G. Wang
Proc. IAHS, 372, 249–253, https://doi.org/10.5194/piahs-372-249-2015, https://doi.org/10.5194/piahs-372-249-2015, 2015
S. Ye, Y. Luo, J. Wu, P. Teatini, H. Wang, and X. Jiao
Proc. IAHS, 372, 443–448, https://doi.org/10.5194/piahs-372-443-2015, https://doi.org/10.5194/piahs-372-443-2015, 2015
G. Isotton, M. Ferronato, G. Gambolati, and P. Teatini
Proc. IAHS, 372, 519–523, https://doi.org/10.5194/piahs-372-519-2015, https://doi.org/10.5194/piahs-372-519-2015, 2015
L. Tosi, E. E. Kruse, F. Braga, E. S. Carol, S. C. Carretero, J. L. Pousa, F. Rizzetto, and P. Teatini
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 13, 523–534, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-13-523-2013, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-13-523-2013, 2013
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Short summary
The effects of land subsidence could be devastating on heavily settled coastal plains. In a scenario of sea-level rise, high costs are expected to protect coastal cities and touristic hotspots and to keep drained reclaimed lands. In this work, we calculated subsidence rates (SR) in the Po coastal plain, over the last 5.6 and 120 thousand years, providing information about land movements before human intervention became the main driver of subsidence, through water and gas withdrawal.
The effects of land subsidence could be devastating on heavily settled coastal plains. In a...
